Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Carpenter

matchup for Brett de Geus

33rd out of 436 (Best 8%)

Brett de Geus

matchup for Matt Carpenter

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of de Geus

Matt Carpenter has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Brett de Geus, which is 3.7% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing de Geus.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.9%	16.3%	1.7%	3.4%	11.2%	17.6%	30.1%
Carpenter	+3.7	+0.1	-1.0	-0.7	+1.8	+3.7	-3.7
de Geus	-1.3	-7.7	-0.3	-0.9	-6.6	+6.5	+10.2

Matt Carpenter is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Brett de Geus is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carpenter has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Brett de Geus throws a Sinker 54% of the time. Matt Carpenter has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

54%

Cutter (R)

24%

Curve (R)

17%

13% of Brett de Geus's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Non-Competitive 16%

+3%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Chaser 4%

-2%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

42% of Brett de Geus's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 42%

+28%

Extreme Break 40%

+26%

Fastball (R) 78%

+25%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Brett de Geus strikes out 11.4% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +6.0% -7.5% 2%

Walk +5.4% +3.8% 44%

In Play -11.5% +3.7% 39%

On Base -4.7% +12.0% 31%

Hit -10.1% +8.2% 14%

Single -5.7% +5.2% 13%

2B / 3B -5.5% +5.7% 3%

Home Run +1.0% -2.7%

23.3% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. Brett de Geus induces Standard Grounders at a 43.4% rate, which is 9.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -11.1% +9.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% +0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.9% -2.1% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% -1.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +10.4% -3.3% 3%

Pop up -1.7% -3.0%

21.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Brett de Geus are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% -4.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% +6.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.0% -1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% -2.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.1% +1.1%

17.7% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. 9.0% of batted balls allowed by Brett de Geus are hit at this angle, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%