matchup for Matt Festa
matchup for Matt Carpenter
2
Matt Carpenter has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Matt Festa, which is 0.2% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Festa.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 29.9% | 17.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 34.8% |
| Carpenter | -0.2 | +1.5 | +0.9 | +0.7 | -0.1 | -1.7 | +1.0 |
| Festa | -0.9 | -5.4 | +0.8 | -1.0 | -5.3 | +4.5 | +9.6 |
Matt Carpenter is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Matt Festa is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Carpenter has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Matt Festa throws a Slider 47% of the time. Matt Carpenter has an F grade against right-handed Sliders
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Slider (R)
47%
4-Seam (R)
44%
Cutter (R)
6%
8% of Matt Festa's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Meatball
8%
+2%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Likely Ball
20%
+0%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Mid Challenge
11%
+0%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Weak Challenge
6%
-2%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
31% of Matt Festa's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Very Slow Velo
31%
+18%
Breaking (R)
49%
+18%
Large Break
20%
+16%
Small Drop
25%
+13%
18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Matt Festa strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
12%
Strikeout
+6.0%
+2.6%
2%
Walk
+5.4%
+3.4%
44%
In Play
-11.5%
-6.0%
39%
On Base
-4.7%
+0.8%
31%
Hit
-10.1%
-2.7%
14%
Single
-5.7%
-1.5%
13%
2B / 3B
-5.5%
-1.0%
3%
Home Run
+1.0%
-0.1%
23.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 11.2% lower than the league average. Matt Festa induces Standard Grounders at a 28.4% rate, which is 6.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.1%
-0.2%
34%
Standard Grounder
-11.2%
-6.0%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.2%
+2.3%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.5%
+4.8%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.2%
-2.1%
4%
Maybe Homer
+2.8%
-1.2%
3%
Likely Homer
+2.4%
+1.2%
1%
No Doubter
+0.8%
+0.3%
20%
Routine Flyout
+10.4%
-1.3%
3%
Pop up
-1.7%
+2.3%
21.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 23.5% of batted balls allowed by Matt Festa are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.7%
+0.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-3.6%
+6.8%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+5.0%
-1.9%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+4.5%
-4.4%
24%
Above 100 mph
-3.1%
-0.8%
17.7% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.2% higher than the league average. 13.0% of batted balls allowed by Matt Festa are hit at this angle, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-9.4%
-5.6%
12%
-10 to 0°
-4.1%
+1.4%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.1%
+1.8%
18%
7 to 18°
+0.7%
-6.3%
15%
19 to 28°
+3.3%
+3.4%
11%
29 to 38°
+6.2%
+1.6%
7%
39 to 50°
+5.7%
+0.8%
8%
Above 50°
-1.3%
+3.0%
Matt Carpenter has 2 plate appearances against Matt Festa in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.004 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-06-07 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-08-03 | Flyout | 99% | |||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
