Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Carpenter

matchup for Trevor Rogers

189th out of 436 (Best 44%)

Trevor Rogers

matchup for Matt Carpenter

53rd out of 567 (Best 10%)

Strong advantage for Carpenter

Matt Carpenter has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs Trevor Rogers, which is 5.0% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 1.1% higher than batters facing Rogers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.2%	18.8%	3.2%	4.8%	10.8%	16.4%	27.1%
Carpenter	+5.0	+2.6	+0.4	+0.8	+1.4	+2.5	-6.7
Rogers	+1.1	-5.4	+0.5	-0.9	-5.0	+6.5	+7.5

Matt Carpenter is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Trevor Rogers is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Carpenter has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Trevor Rogers throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Matt Carpenter has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

48%

Changeup (L)

26%

Slider (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13% of Trevor Rogers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Likely Ball 19%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

48% of Trevor Rogers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 48%

+26%

Offspeed (L) 26%

+14%

Fast Velo 20%

+10%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Trevor Rogers strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +6.0% -0.4% 2%

Walk +5.4% +0.3% 44%

In Play -11.5% +0.2% 39%

On Base -4.7% +0.7% 31%

Hit -10.1% +0.4% 14%

Single -5.7% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B -5.5% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +1.0% -0.8%

23.3% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. Trevor Rogers induces Standard Grounders at a 33.3% rate, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -11.1% -1.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +2.9% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.9% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +10.4% +0.2% 3%

Pop up -1.7% -0.9%

21.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 28.8% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Rogers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% -1.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% -3.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.0% +1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% -0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.1% +4.5%

17.7% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Rogers are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%