Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Carpenter

matchup for Sean Reynolds

64th out of 436 (Best 15%)

Sean Reynolds

matchup for Matt Carpenter

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Reynolds

Matt Carpenter has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Sean Reynolds, which is 0.1% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Reynolds.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.0%	12.9%	2.1%	3.5%	7.3%	17.1%	40.7%
Carpenter	-0.1	-3.3	-0.6	-0.6	-2.1	+3.2	+7.0
Reynolds	-1.3	-6.5	-0.5	-1.4	-4.6	+5.2	+8.7

Matt Carpenter is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Sean Reynolds is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carpenter has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Sean Reynolds throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Matt Carpenter has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

48%

Slider (R)

46%

Changeup (R)

8% of Sean Reynolds's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-3%

33% of Sean Reynolds's pitches are classified as Medium Slow Velocity, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Slow Velo 33%

+19%

Medium Drop 30%

+18%

Breaking (R) 46%

+15%

Small Break 23%

+11%

18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Sean Reynolds strikes out 34.7% of the batters he faces, which is 20.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +6.0% +20.7% 2%

Walk +5.4% +2.8% 44%

In Play -11.5% -23.5% 39%

On Base -4.7% -5.4% 31%

Hit -10.1% -8.2% 14%

Single -5.7% -2.9% 13%

2B / 3B -5.5% -2.5% 3%

Home Run +1.0% -2.8%

23.3% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. Sean Reynolds induces Standard Grounders at a 28.7% rate, which is 5.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -11.1% -5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +3.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% +13.3% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -9.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.9% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +10.4% +11.6% 3%

Pop up -1.7% -3.4%

21.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 17.4% of batted balls allowed by Sean Reynolds are hit at above 100 mph, which is 6.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% +11.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% -6.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.0% +4.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% -2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.1% -6.9%

17.7% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. 12.6% of batted balls allowed by Sean Reynolds are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%