Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Carpenter

matchup for Tobias Myers

86th out of 436 (Best 20%)

Tobias Myers

matchup for Matt Carpenter

206th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Leans in favor of Myers

Matt Carpenter has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Tobias Myers, which is 0.2% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Myers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.0%	19.1%	3.2%	5.8%	10.0%	10.9%	32.5%
Carpenter	-0.2	+2.8	+0.5	+1.8	+0.6	-3.0	-1.2
Myers	-1.8	-5.1	+0.2	-0.2	-5.1	+3.3	+8.3

Matt Carpenter is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tobias Myers is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carpenter has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Tobias Myers throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Matt Carpenter has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

41%

Cutter (R)

22%

Slider (R)

22%

Changeup (R)

11%

13% of Tobias Myers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Meatball 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

27% of Tobias Myers's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Break 27%

+16%

High Ride 23%

+13%

Fastball (R) 63%

+9%

18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Tobias Myers strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +6.0% -1.6% 2%

Walk +5.4% -1.7% 44%

In Play -11.5% +3.3% 39%

On Base -4.7% +0.5% 31%

Hit -10.1% +2.2% 14%

Single -5.7% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -5.5% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +1.0% +0.5%

23.3% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. Tobias Myers induces Standard Grounders at a 26.3% rate, which is 8.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -11.1% -8.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +0.9% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% +1.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% +0.1% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.9% +2.7% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +10.4% +2.8% 3%

Pop up -1.7% +1.1%

21.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Tobias Myers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% -4.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% +6.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.0% +0.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% -4.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.1% +1.1%

17.7% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. 5.7% of batted balls allowed by Tobias Myers are hit at this angle, which is 5.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -9.3% -4.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -4.1% -4.9% 8%

1 to 6° -1.1% +1.2% 18%

7 to 18° +0.6% +0.7% 15%

19 to 28° +3.2% +10.7% 11%

29 to 38° +6.3% -5.8% 7%

39 to 50° +5.7% -1.8% 8%

Above 50° -1.3% +3.8%

Matt Carpenter has 2 plate appearances against Tobias Myers in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-21	Walk
2024-08-21	Field Error

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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