Matchup Machine

Matt Carpenter

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matchup for Riley Pint

103rd out of 436 (Best 24%)

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Riley Pint

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matchup for Matt Carpenter

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Carpenter
1

Model Prediction

Matt Carpenter has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Riley Pint, which is 5.5% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Pint.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.6%13.9%2.4%3.6%7.9%21.7%35.6%
Carpenter+5.5-2.3-0.4-0.5-1.5+7.8+1.8
Pint0.0-6.9-0.3-1.1-5.6+6.9+8.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Matt Carpenter is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Riley Pint is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Carpenter has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Riley Pint throws a Slider 58% of the time. Matt Carpenter has an F grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
58%
   4-Seam (R)
25%
   Sinker (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Riley Pint strikes out 22.2% of the batters he faces, which is 8.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.0% +8.7% 2%         Walk +5.4% +23.6% 44%         In Play -11.5% -32.2% 39%         On Base -4.7% +7.6% 31%         Hit -10.1% -16.0% 14%         Single -5.7% -8.9% 13%         2B / 3B -5.5% -8.4% 3%         Home Run +1.0% +1.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years