Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Carpenter

matchup for Logan Webb

36th out of 436 (Best 9%)

Logan Webb

matchup for Matt Carpenter

345th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Moderate advantage for Webb

Matt Carpenter has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.9% lower than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.3%	17.8%	2.1%	4.3%	11.3%	11.5%	31.6%
Carpenter	-0.9	+1.5	-0.6	+0.3	+1.9	-2.4	-2.2
Webb	-2.9	-7.0	-0.3	-0.8	-5.8	+4.1	+9.6

Matt Carpenter is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carpenter has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Matt Carpenter has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +6.0% -0.8% 2%

Walk +5.4% -2.4% 44%

In Play -11.5% +3.2% 39%

On Base -4.7% +1.6% 31%

Hit -10.1% +4.0% 14%

Single -5.7% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -5.5% +2.8% 3%

Home Run +1.0% -1.3%

23.3% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -11.1% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.9% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +10.4% -7.2% 3%

Pop up -1.7% -1.4%

21.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.0% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.1% +3.6%

17.7% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -9.3% +9.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -4.1% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.1% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° +0.6% +2.9% 15%

19 to 28° +3.2% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° +6.3% -4.8% 7%

39 to 50° +5.7% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° -1.3% -5.1%

Matt Carpenter has 3 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.12	0.00	0.03	0.10			0.062

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-23	Flyout				99%
2024-06-23	Walk
2024-06-23	Single		2%	10%	88%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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