Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Carpenter

matchup for Jack Flaherty

106th out of 436 (Best 25%)

Jack Flaherty

matchup for Matt Carpenter

111st out of 567 (Best 20%)

Moderate advantage for Carpenter

Matt Carpenter has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 5.0% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.2%	16.5%	3.2%	3.8%	9.5%	18.7%	33.3%
Carpenter	+5.0	+0.2	+0.4	-0.2	+0.0	+4.8	-0.5
Flaherty	+1.0	-6.8	-0.4	-1.3	-5.0	+7.7	+10.5

Matt Carpenter is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Carpenter has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Matt Carpenter has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Kn-Curve (R)

18%

21% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Mid Challenge 11%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

45% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an F grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 45%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +6.0% +5.8% 2%

Walk +5.4% -1.5% 44%

In Play -11.5% -4.3% 39%

On Base -4.7% -2.0% 31%

Hit -10.1% -0.5% 14%

Single -5.7% +0.0% 13%

2B / 3B -5.5% -0.3% 3%

Home Run +1.0% -0.2%

23.3% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -11.1% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -1.5% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.9% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +10.4% -1.3% 3%

Pop up -1.7% -0.8%

21.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% +1.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.0% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.1% -2.8%

17.7% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. 12.2% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%