Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Carpenter

matchup for Chad Green

117th out of 436 (Best 28%)

Chad Green

matchup for Matt Carpenter

393rd out of 564 (Worst 30%)

Strong advantage for Green

Matt Carpenter has a 25.8% chance of reaching base vs Chad Green, which is 4.3% lower than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Green.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.8%	16.4%	3.7%	4.7%	8.0%	9.4%	35.1%
Carpenter	-4.3	+0.2	+1.0	+0.7	-1.4	-4.5	+1.3
Green	-0.9	-3.7	+0.3	-0.3	-3.8	+2.8	+10.1

Matt Carpenter is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chad Green is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Carpenter has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Chad Green throws a 4-seam fastball 72% of the time. Matt Carpenter has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

72%

Slider (R)

14%

Curve (R)

11%

16% of Chad Green's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

47% of Chad Green's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 47%

+28%

High Ride 37%

+27%

Very Fast Velo 34%

+26%

Fastball (R) 73%

+20%

18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Chad Green strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +6.0% +9.3% 2%

Walk +5.4% -3.9% 44%

In Play -11.5% -5.4% 39%

On Base -4.7% -8.6% 31%

Hit -10.1% -4.7% 14%

Single -5.7% -2.2% 13%

2B / 3B -5.5% -2.9% 3%

Home Run +1.0% +0.3%

23.3% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. Chad Green induces Standard Grounders at a 25.6% rate, which is 8.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -11.1% -8.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.9% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% +1.4% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +10.4% +9.5% 3%

Pop up -1.7% +1.8%

21.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Chad Green are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% -4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% -4.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.0% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% +4.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.1% +3.6%

17.7% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. 15.0% of batted balls allowed by Chad Green are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%