Matchup Machine

      Matt Carpenter

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      matchup for Michael Wacha

      60th out of 436 (Best 15%)

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      Michael Wacha

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      matchup for Matt Carpenter

      269th out of 564 (Best 49%)

      Moderate advantage for Wacha
      3

      Model Prediction

      Matt Carpenter has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.1% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Wacha.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Matt Carpenter is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Carpenter has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Matt Carpenter has a B grade against right-handed Changeups

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
      32%
         4-Seam (R)
      31%
         Cutter (R)
      17%
         Sinker (R)
      11%
         Curve (R)
      8%

      Contact and Outcomes

      18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.0% +0.4% 2%         Walk +5.4% -2.0% 44%         In Play -11.5% +1.5% 39%         On Base -4.7% -3.0% 31%         Hit -10.1% -1.0% 14%         Single -5.7% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -5.5% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.0% +0.1%

      History

      No History in the last 3 years