Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Carpenter

matchup for Carson Fulmer

114th out of 436 (Best 27%)

Carson Fulmer

matchup for Matt Carpenter

106th out of 567 (Best 20%)

Moderate advantage for Carpenter

Matt Carpenter has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 3.8% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Fulmer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.0%	18.0%	3.3%	4.0%	10.8%	16.0%	29.8%
Carpenter	+3.8	+1.8	+0.6	-0.1	+1.3	+2.0	-4.0
Fulmer	+0.5	-5.8	+0.2	-1.5	-4.4	+6.3	+8.1

Matt Carpenter is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Carpenter has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Matt Carpenter has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Changeup (R)

20%

Cutter (R)

15%

Sinker (R)

11%

Curve (R)

Slider (R)

8% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

33% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 33%

+18%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

Fastball (R) 62%

+8%

18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +6.0% -2.6% 2%

Walk +5.4% +2.5% 44%

In Play -11.5% +0.1% 39%

On Base -4.7% +3.9% 31%

Hit -10.1% +1.4% 14%

Single -5.7% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -5.5% +0.6% 3%

Home Run +1.0% +0.1%

23.3% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. Carson Fulmer induces Standard Grounders at a 34.3% rate, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -11.1% -0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +1.9% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% -1.2% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.9% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +10.4% +3.9% 3%

Pop up -1.7% -2.4%

21.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 24.9% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% -4.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.0% -1.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% +3.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.1% +0.6%

17.7% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at this angle, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%