matchup for Max Fried
matchup for Matt Carpenter
6
Matt Carpenter has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Max Fried, which is 0.3% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Fried.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 30.4% | 15.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 38.1% |
| Carpenter | +0.3 | -1.0 | -1.0 | -0.3 | +0.3 | +1.3 | +4.4 |
| Fried | -2.0 | -7.7 | -0.4 | -0.7 | -6.5 | +5.7 | +11.7 |
Matt Carpenter is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Max Fried is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carpenter has a D grade vs this particular release point.
Max Fried throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Matt Carpenter has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
35%
Curve (L)
23%
Slider (L)
17%
Sinker (L)
13%
Changeup (L)
11%
13% of Max Fried's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
13%
+4%
Likely Ball
21%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Non-Competitive
10%
-2%
Meatball
1%
-4%
23% of Max Fried's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Drop
23%
+19%
Slow Lob
18%
+14%
Medium Break
20%
+11%
Breaking (L)
40%
+11%
18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Max Fried strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
12%
Strikeout
+6.0%
+3.0%
2%
Walk
+5.4%
-1.7%
44%
In Play
-11.5%
-1.3%
39%
On Base
-4.7%
+0.3%
31%
Hit
-10.1%
+2.0%
14%
Single
-5.7%
+1.7%
13%
2B / 3B
-5.5%
+1.7%
3%
Home Run
+1.0%
-1.4%
23.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 11.2% lower than the league average. Max Fried induces Standard Grounders at a 46.2% rate, which is 11.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.1%
+0.2%
34%
Standard Grounder
-11.2%
+11.7%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.2%
+0.2%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.5%
-1.5%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.2%
+0.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
+2.8%
-1.7%
3%
Likely Homer
+2.4%
-1.4%
1%
No Doubter
+0.8%
-0.6%
20%
Routine Flyout
+10.4%
-6.2%
3%
Pop up
-1.7%
-0.8%
21.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 20.7% of batted balls allowed by Max Fried are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.7%
+4.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-3.6%
+2.6%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+5.0%
-3.1%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+4.5%
-0.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
-3.1%
-3.6%
17.7% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.2% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Max Fried are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-9.4%
+8.7%
12%
-10 to 0°
-4.1%
+1.7%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.1%
+0.2%
18%
7 to 18°
+0.7%
+0.7%
15%
19 to 28°
+3.3%
-3.7%
11%
29 to 38°
+6.2%
-1.3%
7%
39 to 50°
+5.7%
-2.3%
8%
Above 50°
-1.3%
-4.0%
No History in the last 3 years
