Matchup Machine

Matt Carpenter

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matchup for Austin Gomber

144th out of 436 (Best 34%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Matt Carpenter

73rd out of 567 (Best 14%)

Moderate advantage for Carpenter
5

Model Prediction

Matt Carpenter has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.9% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.1%21.4%4.0%6.0%11.4%9.7%25.4%
Carpenter+0.9+5.1+1.2+2.0+2.0-4.2-8.4
Gomber-0.7-4.5+0.6-0.6-4.5+3.9+7.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Matt Carpenter is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Carpenter has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Matt Carpenter has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.0% -3.3% 2%         Walk +5.4% -2.5% 44%         In Play -11.5% +5.9% 39%         On Base -4.7% +0.6% 31%         Hit -10.1% +3.1% 14%         Single -5.7% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -5.5% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +1.0% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years