Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Carpenter

matchup for Wade Miley

81st out of 436 (Best 19%)

Wade Miley

matchup for Matt Carpenter

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Carpenter

Matt Carpenter has a 36.3% chance of reaching base vs Wade Miley, which is 6.2% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Miley.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.3%	20.9%	3.0%	3.6%	14.3%	15.4%	25.4%
Carpenter	+6.2	+4.7	+0.3	-0.5	+4.9	+1.5	-8.4
Miley	-0.1	-5.9	+0.1	-1.3	-4.7	+5.8	+7.4

Matt Carpenter is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Wade Miley is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Carpenter has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Wade Miley throws a Cutter 44% of the time. Matt Carpenter hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (L)

44%

Changeup (L)

23%

4-Seam (L)

16%

Curve (L)

24% of Wade Miley's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 24%

+4%

Chaser 9%

+3%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Strong Challenge 3%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

35% of Wade Miley's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 35%

+22%

Small Break 25%

+15%

Medium Slow Velo 27%

+13%

Offspeed (L) 23%

+11%

18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Wade Miley strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +6.0% -1.5% 2%

Walk +5.4% +0.0% 44%

In Play -11.5% +1.5% 39%

On Base -4.7% -0.5% 31%

Hit -10.1% -0.5% 14%

Single -5.7% +0.2% 13%

2B / 3B -5.5% +0.5% 3%

Home Run +1.0% -1.2%

23.3% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. Wade Miley induces Standard Grounders at a 43.9% rate, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -11.1% +9.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% -1.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -2.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.9% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% -0.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +10.4% -3.0% 3%

Pop up -1.7% -0.3%

21.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Wade Miley are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% +2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.0% +5.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% -4.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.1% -2.8%

17.7% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Wade Miley are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%