Matchup Machine

Christian Walker

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matchup for Jared Jones

303rd out of 436 (Worst 31%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for C. Walker

409th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Leans in favor of Walker
2

Model Prediction

Christian Walker has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.7% lower than Walker's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.3%20.8%4.5%4.5%11.8%10.5%33.3%
Walker-1.7-2.9+0.7-0.7-2.9+1.1+7.0
Jones+0.20.0+1.6-0.6-1.0+0.2+4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Christian Walker is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Walker has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Christian Walker has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

14.4% of Christian Walker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.4% +0.4% 4%         Walk +0.7% +0.6% 40%         In Play -0.3% -1.1% 39%         On Base -0.1% -0.1% 31%         Hit -0.8% -0.8% 14%         Single -1.7% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +2.1% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years