Matchup Machine

      Christian Walker

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      matchup for Michael Wacha

      410th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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      Michael Wacha

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      matchup for C. Walker

      222nd out of 564 (Best 40%)

      Strong advantage for Walker
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      Model Prediction

      Christian Walker has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.6% higher than Walker's typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Wacha.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Christian Walker is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Walker has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Christian Walker has an A+ grade against right-handed Changeups

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
      32%
         4-Seam (R)
      31%
         Cutter (R)
      17%
         Sinker (R)
      11%
         Curve (R)
      8%

      Contact and Outcomes

      14.4% of Christian Walker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.4% +0.4% 4%         Walk +0.5% -2.0% 40%         In Play -0.2% +1.5% 39%         On Base +0.0% -3.0% 31%         Hit -0.5% -1.0% 14%         Single -1.5% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +2.0% +0.1%

      History

      Christian Walker has 5 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 5 with a home run and a double and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual554112000.800
      Expected From Contact →3.370.910.491.980.674
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-07-24Home Run91%7%2%
      2024-07-24Groundout1%5%94%
      2023-04-20Single2%51%47%
      2023-04-20Double37%52%11%
      2023-04-20Single90%10%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.