Matchup Machine

Christian Walker

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matchup for Jordan Lyles

383rd out of 436 (Worst 12%)

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Jordan Lyles

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matchup for C. Walker

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Walker
10

Model Prediction

Christian Walker has a 35.5% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Lyles, which is 2.5% higher than Walker's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Lyles.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.5%26.4%4.3%6.3%15.8%9.1%20.5%
Walker+2.5+2.8+0.4+1.2+1.1-0.3-5.9
Lyles+1.8+2.2+0.9+0.5+0.8-0.4+2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Christian Walker is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jordan Lyles is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Walker has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jordan Lyles throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Christian Walker has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
35%
   Slider (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

14.4% of Christian Walker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. Jordan Lyles strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.4% +0.8% 4%         Walk +0.7% -2.3% 40%         In Play -0.3% +1.5% 39%         On Base -0.1% -4.1% 31%         Hit -0.8% -1.7% 14%         Single -1.7% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -1.3% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +2.1% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years