Matchup Machine

Michael A. Taylor

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matchup for Chad Green

3rd out of 436 (Best 1%)

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Chad Green

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matchup for M. A. Taylor

447th out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Extreme advantage for Green
10

Model Prediction

Michael A. Taylor has a 21.8% chance of reaching base vs Chad Green, which is 4.5% lower than A. Taylor's typical expectations, and 5.0% lower than batters facing Green.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction21.8%16.0%2.7%4.2%9.1%5.8%41.1%
A. Taylor-4.5-2.4+0.4-0.2-2.6-2.1+2.8
Green-5.0-4.2-0.7-0.8-2.7-0.8+16.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael A. Taylor is worse vs right-handed pitching. Chad Green is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. A. Taylor has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chad Green throws a 4-seam fastball 72% of the time. Michael A. Taylor has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
72%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

21.0% of Michael A. Taylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.7% higher than the league average. Chad Green strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +10.7% +9.3% 4%         Walk +0.0% -3.9% 44%         In Play -10.7% -5.4% 39%         On Base -2.9% -8.6% 31%         Hit -2.9% -4.7% 14%         Single -2.1% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B -1.6% -2.9% 3%         Home Run +0.8% +0.3%

History

Michael A. Taylor has 2 plate appearances against Chad Green in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-10-03Strikeout
2022-04-29Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.