Jon Singleton has a 37.5% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 6.4% higher than Singleton's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Allen.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 37.5% | 20.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 20.2% |
Singleton | +6.4 | +0.8 | +1.2 | +0.3 | -0.7 | +5.5 | -7.3 |
Allen | +0.4 | -3.7 | +0.3 | -0.2 | -3.8 | +4.1 | +3.0 |
Jon Singleton is worse vs left-handed pitching. Logan Allen is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Singleton doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Jon Singleton hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.
16.0% of Jon Singleton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% higher than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Jon Singleton has 3 plate appearances against Logan Allen in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a home run and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.72 | 0.39 | 0.10 | 0.23 | 0.239 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-05-02 | Home Run | 39% | 8% | 53% | |
2024-05-02 | Single | 1% | 21% | 78% | |
2024-05-02 | Groundout | 2% | 98% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.