Matchup Machine

Jon Singleton

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matchup for Joe Ryan

245th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

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Joe Ryan

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matchup for Jon Singleton

471st out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Moderate advantage for Ryan
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Model Prediction

Jon Singleton has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs Joe Ryan, which is 4.2% lower than Singleton's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Ryan.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.0%19.5%2.6%5.9%11.0%7.5%30.8%
Singleton-4.2-0.5-0.3+0.6-0.8-3.7+3.3
Ryan+0.1-0.7+0.0+0.6-1.3+0.9+1.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Jon Singleton is better vs right-handed pitching. Joe Ryan is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Singleton has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Joe Ryan throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Jon Singleton has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Splitter (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

16.0% of Jon Singleton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% higher than the league average. Joe Ryan strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.3% +4.7% 3%         Walk +3.8% -3.3% 42%         In Play -6.1% -1.4% 39%         On Base +0.8% -8.0% 31%         Hit -3.0% -4.7% 14%         Single -1.8% -2.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -2.7% 3%         Home Run +0.2% +0.9%

History

Jon Singleton has 3 plate appearances against Joe Ryan in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331100000.333
Expected From Contact →1.310.620.670.020.438
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-06Lineout38%2%60%
2024-07-06Pop Out100%
2024-07-06Home Run62%29%9%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.