Matchup Machine

Jon Singleton

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

227th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Jon Singleton

330th out of 567 (Worst 42%)

Leans in favor of Schmidt
1

Model Prediction

Jon Singleton has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 1.1% higher than Singleton's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.2%16.4%2.3%4.5%9.6%15.8%26.8%
Singleton+1.1-3.6-0.6-0.8-2.2+4.7-0.7
Schmidt+0.2-3.2-0.1+0.5-3.6+3.4+1.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Jon Singleton is better vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Singleton has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Jon Singleton has a D+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

16.0% of Jon Singleton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.3% +0.3% 3%         Walk +3.8% +1.6% 42%         In Play -6.1% -1.9% 39%         On Base +0.8% -0.3% 31%         Hit -3.0% -2.0% 14%         Single -1.8% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.2% 0.0%

History

Jon Singleton has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000200.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-03-31Strikeout
2024-03-31Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.