Matchup Machine

Jon Singleton

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

294th out of 436 (Worst 33%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Jon Singleton

70th out of 567 (Best 13%)

Strong advantage for Singleton
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Model Prediction

Jon Singleton has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 3.6% higher than Singleton's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.7%21.2%3.9%6.0%11.3%13.5%25.3%
Singleton+3.6+1.3+1.1+0.6-0.4+2.3-2.2
Flaherty+0.5-2.0+0.3+0.8-3.2+2.5+2.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Jon Singleton is better vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Singleton has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jon Singleton has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

16.0% of Jon Singleton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.3% +5.8% 3%         Walk +3.8% -1.5% 42%         In Play -6.1% -4.3% 39%         On Base +0.8% -2.0% 31%         Hit -3.0% -0.5% 14%         Single -1.8% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -0.3% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.2%

History

Jon Singleton has 5 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual552002200.400
Expected From Contact →1.340.000.630.710.268
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-15Strikeout
2024-06-15Single63%28%9%
2024-05-12Strikeout
2024-05-12Lineout32%67%
2024-05-12Single10%90%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.