Matchup Machine

Max Muncy

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matchup for Declan Cronin

322nd out of 436 (Worst 26%)

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Declan Cronin

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matchup for Max Muncy

312th out of 567 (Worst 45%)

Moderate advantage for Muncy
4

Model Prediction

Max Muncy has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Declan Cronin, which is 1.1% higher than Muncy's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Cronin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.0%19.9%2.9%3.6%13.4%15.1%27.9%
Muncy+1.1+1.6-0.8-0.6+2.9-0.4-1.9
Cronin+2.6-3.2+0.7-0.9-3.0+5.9+4.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Max Muncy is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Declan Cronin is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Muncy has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Declan Cronin throws a Slider 52% of the time. Max Muncy has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   Sinker (R)
41%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Max Muncy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Declan Cronin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.9% -0.3% 1%         Walk +7.8% -0.3% 44%         In Play -11.8% +0.5% 39%         On Base -1.4% +3.8% 31%         Hit -9.2% +4.0% 14%         Single -6.0% +2.7% 13%         2B / 3B -5.3% +3.1% 3%         Home Run +2.1% -1.7%

History

Max Muncy has 1 plate appearance against Declan Cronin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.030.010.010.000.026
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-06Flyout1%1%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.