Matchup Machine

Max Muncy

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matchup for Jared Jones

362nd out of 436 (Worst 17%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Max Muncy

271st out of 567 (Best 49%)

Moderate advantage for Muncy
5

Model Prediction

Max Muncy has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.5% higher than Muncy's typical expectations, and 4.3% higher than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.4%17.5%3.6%4.3%9.7%17.9%30.9%
Muncy+1.5-0.9-0.1+0.0-0.8+2.4+1.1
Jones+4.3-3.4+0.6-0.8-3.2+7.7+2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Max Muncy is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Muncy has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Max Muncy has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Max Muncy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.9% +0.4% 1%         Walk +7.8% +0.6% 44%         In Play -11.8% -1.1% 39%         On Base -1.4% -0.1% 31%         Hit -9.2% -0.8% 14%         Single -6.0% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -5.3% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +2.1% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years