Matchup Machine

Max Muncy

sometext

matchup for Dean Kremer

215th out of 436 (Best 50%)

sometext

Dean Kremer

sometext

matchup for Max Muncy

440th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of Kremer
2

Model Prediction

Max Muncy has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 2.5% lower than Muncy's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Kremer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%15.9%3.6%3.4%8.9%15.5%33.5%
Muncy-2.5-2.5-0.1-0.8-1.6+0.0+3.7
Kremer+1.3-4.6+0.8-0.9-4.4+5.9+8.3

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Max Muncy is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Muncy has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Max Muncy has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
25%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Changeup (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Max Muncy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.9% -0.3% 1%         Walk +7.8% +0.8% 44%         In Play -11.8% -0.4% 39%         On Base -1.4% +1.3% 31%         Hit -9.2% +0.6% 14%         Single -6.0% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -5.3% +0.1% 3%         Home Run +2.1% +0.8%

History

Max Muncy has 3 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331100000.333
Expected From Contact →1.490.890.170.430.498
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-19Home Run89%4%6%
2023-07-19Groundout12%36%52%
2023-07-19Groundout7%93%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.