Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Max Muncy

matchup for Logan Webb

301st out of 436 (Worst 31%)

Logan Webb

matchup for Max Muncy

276th out of 567 (Best 50%)

Moderate advantage for Muncy

Max Muncy has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.4% higher than Muncy's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Webb.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.2%	21.3%	3.4%	4.2%	13.6%	13.0%	27.1%
Muncy	+0.4	+2.9	-0.3	+0.0	+3.1	-2.5	-2.7
Webb	+2.1	-3.5	+1.0	-0.9	-3.5	+5.5	+5.1

Max Muncy is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Muncy has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Max Muncy has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

36%

Changeup (R)

34%

Slider (R)

25%

13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Max Muncy has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-4%

47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Max Muncy has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 47%

+34%

Offspeed (R) 34%

+23%

Extreme Break 24%

+9%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

16.9% of Max Muncy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.9% -0.8% 1%

Walk +7.8% -2.4% 44%

In Play -11.8% +3.2% 39%

On Base -1.4% +1.6% 31%

Hit -9.2% +4.0% 14%

Single -6.0% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -5.3% +2.8% 3%

Home Run +2.1% -1.3%

26.2% of Max Muncy's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.2% lower than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.3% rate, which is 9.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.2% +9.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.5% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -4.6% -3.8% 9%

Rising Liner -2.4% +2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +3.2% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +3.0% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +7.4% -7.2% 3%

Pop up +1.1% -1.4%

29.9% of Max Muncy's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.6% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.9% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.0% -3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.0% -1.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.3% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.6% +3.6%

16.9% of Max Muncy's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.5% higher than the league average. 6.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.5% +9.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.6% +0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.5% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -3.5% +2.9% 15%

19 to 28° +1.1% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° +5.5% -4.8% 7%

39 to 50° +3.5% -2.2% 8%

Above 50° +3.1% -5.1%

Max Muncy has 18 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 6 for 15 with 2 home runs, 2 doubles and 3 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	18	15	6	2	2	2	5	3	0.400
Expected From Contact →			5.69	0.99	1.37	3.33			0.379

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-15	Groundout		2%	33%	65%
2024-05-15	Strikeout
2024-05-15	Strikeout
2024-04-02	Strikeout
2024-04-02	Double		10%	82%	8%
2023-04-10	Home Run	89%	5%		7%
2023-04-10	Walk
2023-04-10	Single		16%	64%	20%
2022-09-16	Groundout			79%	20%
2022-09-16	Double		66%	9%	25%
2022-09-05	Strikeout
2022-09-05	Single		29%	35%	36%
2022-09-05	Groundout		4%	30%	67%
2022-08-01	Home Run	11%	4%		86%
2022-08-01	Walk
2022-07-22	Strikeout
2022-07-22	Groundout				99%
2022-07-22	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe