Matchup Machine

      Max Muncy

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      matchup for Wade Miley

      363rd out of 436 (Worst 17%)

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      Wade Miley

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      matchup for Max Muncy

      out of 564 (Worst %)

      Extreme advantage for Muncy
      10

      Model Prediction

      Max Muncy has a 38.5% chance of reaching base vs Wade Miley, which is 4.7% higher than Muncy's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Miley.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Max Muncy is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Wade Miley is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Muncy has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Wade Miley throws a Cutter 44% of the time. Max Muncy hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (L)
      44%
         Changeup (L)
      23%
         4-Seam (L)
      16%
         Curve (L)
      7%

      Contact and Outcomes

      16.9% of Max Muncy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Wade Miley strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.9% -1.5% 1%         Walk +8.0% +0.0% 44%         In Play -11.8% +1.5% 39%         On Base -0.8% -0.5% 31%         Hit -8.8% -0.5% 14%         Single -5.7% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B -5.0% +0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.9% -1.2%

      History

      Max Muncy has 3 plate appearances against Wade Miley in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual330000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.040.000.020.020.012
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-08-16Strikeout
      2023-08-16Pop Out100%
      2023-08-16Groundout2%2%97%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.