Matchup Machine

Enrique Hernandez

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matchup for Jared Jones

120th out of 436 (Best 28%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for E. Hernandez

482nd out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Moderate advantage for Jones
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Model Prediction

Enrique Hernandez has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 2.5% lower than Hernandez's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.1%20.5%2.5%4.6%13.4%7.6%28.3%
Hernandez-2.5-2.50.0-0.8-1.8+0.0+7.2
Jones-2.9-0.3-0.4-0.5+0.6-2.6-0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Enrique Hernandez is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hernandez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Enrique Hernandez has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Enrique Hernandez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.6% +0.4% 5%         Walk -2.1% +0.6% 36%         In Play +7.7% -1.1% 39%         On Base +1.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit +3.3% -0.8% 14%         Single +1.5% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% -0.5% 3%         Home Run 0.0% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years