Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Enrique Hernandez

matchup for Alex Speas

269th out of 436 (Worst 39%)

Alex Speas

matchup for E. Hernandez

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Hernandez

Enrique Hernandez has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 2.7% higher than Hernandez's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Speas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.4%	22.1%	2.5%	5.2%	14.4%	11.3%	20.3%
Hernandez	+2.7	-1.0	0.0	-0.2	-0.8	+3.7	-0.8
Speas	-0.6	+1.0	0.0	+0.0	+1.0	-1.5	-4.1

Enrique Hernandez is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Hernandez has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Enrique Hernandez has a D grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

77%

4-Seam (R)

19%

12% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Enrique Hernandez has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Fringe Miss 15%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 13%

-4%

Mid Challenge 4%

-7%

96% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 42% higher than the MLB average. Enrique Hernandez has a B- grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 96%

+42%

Minimal Break 38%

+28%

Small Drop 36%

+23%

Medium Velo 27%

+17%

11.3% of Enrique Hernandez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% lower than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.6% +19.9% 5%

Walk -2.1% -0.6% 36%

In Play +7.7% -19.3% 39%

On Base +1.2% -8.2% 31%

Hit +3.3% -7.6% 14%

Single +1.5% -5.7% 13%

2B / 3B +1.9% -5.2% 3%

Home Run 0.0% +3.3%

31.3% of Enrique Hernandez's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Alex Speas induces Standard Grounders at a 22.2% rate, which is 12.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.1% -12.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +2.2% +9.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.2% +5.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.6% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -1.9% +10.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.2% -7.4% 3%

Pop up +2.6% +8.5%

21.9% of Enrique Hernandez's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.8% +8.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.1% -9.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.7% +6.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.6% +4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.4% -10.5%

9.7% of Enrique Hernandez's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at this angle, which is 14.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%