Matchup Machine

Enrique Hernandez

sometext

matchup for Logan Webb

341st out of 436 (Worst 22%)

sometext

Logan Webb

sometext

matchup for E. Hernandez

129th out of 567 (Best 24%)

Strong advantage for Hernandez
6

Model Prediction

Enrique Hernandez has a 33.5% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 2.8% higher than Hernandez's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.5%27.0%2.0%6.3%18.6%6.5%17.4%
Hernandez+2.8+3.9-0.5+1.0+3.4-1.1-3.7
Webb+1.3+2.2-0.4+1.1+1.5-1.0-4.6

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Enrique Hernandez is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hernandez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Enrique Hernandez has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Enrique Hernandez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.6% -0.8% 5%         Walk -2.1% -2.4% 36%         In Play +7.7% +3.2% 39%         On Base +1.2% +1.6% 31%         Hit +3.3% +4.0% 14%         Single +1.5% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% +2.8% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -1.3%

History

Enrique Hernandez has 5 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 5 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual554013000.800
Expected From Contact →3.090.151.041.900.617
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-25Single52%48%
2024-07-25Single90%10%
2024-07-25Double30%2%67%
2024-04-02Flyout14%29%56%
2024-04-02Single45%45%10%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.