Matchup Machine

Enrique Hernandez

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

233rd out of 436 (Worst 47%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for E. Hernandez

120th out of 567 (Best 22%)

Strong advantage for Hernandez
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Model Prediction

Enrique Hernandez has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.9% higher than Hernandez's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.6%23.6%3.3%4.9%15.4%10.0%20.2%
Hernandez+2.9+0.5+0.7-0.5+0.2+2.4-0.9
Flaherty-0.6+0.3-0.3-0.3+0.9-1.0-2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Enrique Hernandez is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Hernandez has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Enrique Hernandez has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Enrique Hernandez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.6% +5.8% 5%         Walk -2.1% -1.5% 36%         In Play +7.7% -4.3% 39%         On Base +1.2% -2.0% 31%         Hit +3.3% -0.5% 14%         Single +1.5% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% -0.3% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years