Matchup Machine

Enrique Hernandez

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

332nd out of 436 (Worst 24%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for E. Hernandez

65th out of 567 (Best 12%)

Strong advantage for Hernandez
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Model Prediction

Enrique Hernandez has a 33.8% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 3.1% higher than Hernandez's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.8%24.2%3.0%6.3%14.8%9.6%16.8%
Hernandez+3.1+1.1+0.5+1.0-0.4+2.0-4.3
Anderson+0.1+1.9+0.1+1.1+0.7-1.9-4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Enrique Hernandez is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hernandez has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Enrique Hernandez has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Enrique Hernandez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.6% -1.9% 5%         Walk -2.1% -1.0% 36%         In Play +7.7% +2.9% 39%         On Base +1.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit +3.3% +0.9% 14%         Single +1.5% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% +0.6% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -0.2%

History

Enrique Hernandez has 5 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual541010010.250
Expected From Contact →1.080.000.960.120.270
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-24Flyout100%
2023-05-24Double94%3%3%
2023-05-24Flyout100%
2023-04-15Groundout1%9%90%
2023-04-15Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.