Matchup Machine

      Mitch Haniger

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      matchup for Elvis Peguero

      113th out of 436 (Best 27%)

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      Elvis Peguero

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      matchup for Mitch Haniger

      139th out of 564 (Best 25%)

      Leans in favor of Haniger
      2

      Model Prediction

      Mitch Haniger has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Elvis Peguero, which is 3.9% higher than Haniger's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Peguero.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Mitch Haniger is worse vs right-handed pitching. Elvis Peguero is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Haniger has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Elvis Peguero throws a Slider 51% of the time. Mitch Haniger has a D+ grade against right-handed Sliders

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
      51%
         Sinker (R)
      48%

      Contact and Outcomes

      18.5% of Mitch Haniger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. Elvis Peguero strikes out 11.6% of the batters he faces, which is 5.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +6.5% -5.9% 4%         Walk +1.5% +2.2% 43%         In Play -8.0% +3.7% 39%         On Base -3.3% +6.5% 31%         Hit -4.8% +4.3% 14%         Single -2.7% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.9%

      History

      Mitch Haniger has 2 plate appearances against Elvis Peguero in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual220000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.001
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-05Pop Out100%
      2023-05-26Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.