Matchup Machine

Mitch Haniger

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matchup for Jose Berrios

152nd out of 436 (Best 36%)

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Jose Berrios

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matchup for Mitch Haniger

140th out of 567 (Best 26%)

Leans in favor of Haniger
2

Model Prediction

Mitch Haniger has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 2.9% higher than Haniger's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Berrios.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.1%23.0%2.6%4.6%15.9%10.1%28.4%
Haniger+2.9+3.4-0.1+0.1+3.4-0.6-4.2
Berrios+0.8-1.7-0.4-0.6-0.7+2.4+6.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Mitch Haniger is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Haniger has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Mitch Haniger has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
30%
   Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Changeup (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

18.5% of Mitch Haniger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +6.5% +0.7% 4%         Walk +1.5% -0.8% 43%         In Play -8.0% +0.1% 39%         On Base -3.3% -0.3% 31%         Hit -4.8% +0.6% 14%         Single -2.7% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% +0.4% 3%         Home Run +0.2% +0.2%

History

Mitch Haniger has 3 plate appearances against Jose Berrios in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.550.000.200.350.184
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-08Strikeout
2024-04-08Lineout20%4%75%
2024-04-08Groundout31%69%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.