Matchup Machine

Mitch Haniger

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matchup for Michael Wacha

85th out of 436 (Best 20%)

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Michael Wacha

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matchup for Mitch Haniger

268th out of 567 (Best 48%)

Leans in favor of Wacha
2

Model Prediction

Mitch Haniger has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.1% higher than Haniger's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Wacha.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.2%20.8%2.5%4.8%13.4%9.4%28.6%
Haniger-0.1+1.1-0.1+0.2+1.0-1.2-4.0
Wacha-1.0-2.4-0.2-0.3-1.9+1.4+7.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Mitch Haniger is worse vs right-handed pitching. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Haniger has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Mitch Haniger has a D grade against right-handed Changeups

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
32%
   4-Seam (R)
31%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

18.5% of Mitch Haniger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +6.5% +0.4% 4%         Walk +1.5% -2.0% 43%         In Play -8.0% +1.5% 39%         On Base -3.3% -3.0% 31%         Hit -4.8% -1.0% 14%         Single -2.7% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.2% +0.1%

History

Mitch Haniger has 2 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual211001011.000
Expected From Contact →0.650.000.010.640.647
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-14Single64%35%
2024-05-14Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.