Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Mitch Haniger

matchup for Seth Lugo

65th out of 436 (Best 16%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Mitch Haniger

318th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Moderate advantage for Lugo

Mitch Haniger has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.1% higher than Haniger's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.4%	20.8%	3.1%	4.4%	13.4%	9.5%	35.9%
Haniger	+0.1	+1.2	+0.5	-0.2	+0.9	-1.1	+3.3
Lugo	-2.1	-3.1	0.0	-0.5	-2.5	+1.0	+11.0

Mitch Haniger is worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Haniger has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Mitch Haniger has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Mitch Haniger has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Mitch Haniger has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

18.5% of Mitch Haniger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +6.5% +0.8% 4%

Walk +1.5% -2.3% 43%

In Play -8.0% +1.4% 39%

On Base -3.3% -0.4% 31%

Hit -4.8% +1.9% 14%

Single -2.7% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -2.3% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +0.2% +0.1%

31.5% of Mitch Haniger's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.9% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.9% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.5% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.3% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +0.1% -2.2%

28.4% of Mitch Haniger's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.9% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.7% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.4% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.9% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.1% -1.6%

12.3% of Mitch Haniger's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% higher than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%