Matchup Machine

Mitch Haniger

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matchup for Aaron Nola

81st out of 436 (Best 19%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Mitch Haniger

433rd out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Strong advantage for Nola
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Model Prediction

Mitch Haniger has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 1.9% lower than Haniger's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.3%20.2%2.5%6.0%11.7%8.2%41.0%
Haniger-1.9+0.5-0.1+1.4-0.8-2.5+8.4
Nola-1.1-2.2-0.5-0.3-1.4+1.1+10.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Mitch Haniger is worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Haniger has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Mitch Haniger hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

18.5% of Mitch Haniger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +6.5% +6.3% 4%         Walk +1.5% -2.8% 43%         In Play -8.0% -3.5% 39%         On Base -3.3% -4.8% 31%         Hit -4.8% -2.0% 14%         Single -2.7% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years