Matchup Machine

Mitch Haniger

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matchup for Martin Perez

79th out of 436 (Best 19%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Mitch Haniger

76th out of 567 (Best 14%)

Moderate advantage for Haniger
5

Model Prediction

Mitch Haniger has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 3.4% higher than Haniger's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.7%22.7%3.0%4.9%14.8%10.9%25.8%
Haniger+3.4+3.1+0.4+0.3+2.4+0.3-6.8
Perez-1.0-2.60.0-0.5-2.1+1.6+7.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Mitch Haniger is better vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Haniger has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Mitch Haniger has a B+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

18.5% of Mitch Haniger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +6.5% -6.1% 4%         Walk +1.5% -0.3% 43%         In Play -8.0% +6.4% 39%         On Base -3.3% +5.9% 31%         Hit -4.8% +6.3% 14%         Single -2.7% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.3% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.6%

History

Mitch Haniger has 6 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual651001110.200
Expected From Contact →1.370.080.340.940.273
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-09-28Sac Fly5%5%90%
2022-09-28GIDP6%94%
2022-09-28Walk
2022-08-14Single7%80%13%
2022-08-14Strikeout
2022-08-14Lineout8%22%4%66%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.