Matchup Machine

Kyle Farmer

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matchup for Roki Sasaki

78th out of 436 (Best 19%)

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Roki Sasaki

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matchup for Kyle Farmer

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Farmer
5

Model Prediction

Kyle Farmer has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Roki Sasaki, which is 4.0% higher than Farmer's typical expectations, and 3.6% lower than batters facing Sasaki.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.6%22.4%2.5%6.1%13.8%11.2%22.3%
Farmer+4.0-0.10.0+0.8-1.0+4.1-1.7
Sasaki-3.6-0.3-0.6-0.1+0.4-3.2-0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Farmer is worse vs right-handed pitching. Roki Sasaki is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Farmer has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Roki Sasaki throws a 4-seam fastball 60% of the time. Kyle Farmer has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
60%
   Splitter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

12.7% of Kyle Farmer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Roki Sasaki strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.1% -4.7% 5%         Walk -1.1% +27.6% 38%         In Play +4.3% -23.0% 39%         On Base -0.2% +14.9% 31%         Hit +0.9% -12.8% 14%         Single -0.1% -3.0% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% -6.7% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -3.1%

History

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