Matchup Machine

Kyle Farmer

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matchup for Jared Jones

97th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Kyle Farmer

444th out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Moderate advantage for Jones
5

Model Prediction

Kyle Farmer has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.4% lower than Farmer's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.1%20.5%2.5%4.6%13.4%7.7%31.4%
Farmer-1.4-2.00.0-0.6-1.4+0.6+7.5
Jones-2.9-0.3-0.5-0.4+0.5-2.6+2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Farmer is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Farmer has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Kyle Farmer has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

12.7% of Kyle Farmer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.1% +0.4% 5%         Walk -1.1% +0.6% 38%         In Play +4.3% -1.1% 39%         On Base -0.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit +0.9% -0.8% 14%         Single -0.1% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.5% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years