Matchup Machine

      Kyle Farmer

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      matchup for Logan Webb

      212th out of 436 (Best 49%)

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      Logan Webb

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      matchup for Kyle Farmer

      228th out of 564 (Best 41%)

      Leans in favor of Farmer
      2

      Model Prediction

      Kyle Farmer has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 2.3% higher than Farmer's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Webb.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Kyle Farmer is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Farmer has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Kyle Farmer has a D+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      36%
         Changeup (R)
      34%
         Slider (R)
      25%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.7% of Kyle Farmer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.1% -0.8% 5%         Walk -1.1% -2.4% 38%         In Play +4.3% +3.2% 39%         On Base -0.2% +1.6% 31%         Hit +0.9% +4.0% 14%         Single -0.1% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -1.3%

      History

      Kyle Farmer has 3 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a walk

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual320000010.000
      Expected From Contact →0.470.000.060.410.235
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2022-06-25Walk
      2022-06-25Flyout5%95%
      2022-06-25Groundout41%58%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.