Matchup Machine

      Kyle Farmer

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      matchup for Jalen Beeks

      250th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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      Jalen Beeks

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      matchup for Kyle Farmer

      127th out of 564 (Best 23%)

      Strong advantage for Farmer
      6

      Model Prediction

      Kyle Farmer has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 2.9% higher than Farmer's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Beeks.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Kyle Farmer is better vs left-handed pitching. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Farmer has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Kyle Farmer has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      47%
         Changeup (L)
      34%
         Cutter (L)
      11%
         Curve (L)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.8% of Kyle Farmer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.1% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.1% -2.5% 5%         Walk -1.2% -0.1% 38%         In Play +4.3% +2.6% 39%         On Base -0.1% +0.4% 31%         Hit +1.2% +0.5% 14%         Single +0.1% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +1.0% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -1.3%

      History

      Kyle Farmer has 1 plate appearance against Jalen Beeks in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.050.000.000.050.051
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2022-07-09Groundout5%95%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.