Matchup Machine

Kyle Farmer

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matchup for Austin Gomber

324th out of 436 (Worst 26%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Kyle Farmer

41st out of 567 (Best 8%)

Strong advantage for Farmer
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Model Prediction

Kyle Farmer has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 2.8% higher than Farmer's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%28.0%3.1%7.5%17.5%4.3%14.7%
Farmer+2.8+5.5+0.6+2.2+2.7-2.8-9.3
Gomber+0.6+2.1-0.3+0.8+1.6-1.5-3.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Farmer is better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Farmer has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Kyle Farmer has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

12.7% of Kyle Farmer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.1% -3.3% 5%         Walk -1.1% -2.5% 38%         In Play +4.3% +5.9% 39%         On Base -0.2% +0.6% 31%         Hit +0.9% +3.1% 14%         Single -0.1% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.5% +0.3%

History

Kyle Farmer has 2 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual222002001.000
Expected From Contact →0.970.000.170.790.483
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-12Single4%77%19%
2024-06-12Single13%2%85%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.