Kyle Farmer has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.8% higher than Farmer's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Anderson.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 32.4% | 23.7% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 18.8% |
Farmer | +2.8 | +1.3 | +0.4 | +1.4 | -0.5 | +1.6 | -5.2 |
Anderson | -1.3 | +1.5 | -0.1 | +1.4 | +0.1 | -2.8 | -2.8 |
Kyle Farmer is better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Farmer has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Kyle Farmer has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers
12.7% of Kyle Farmer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Kyle Farmer has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a double and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
Expected From Contact → | 2.25 | 0.06 | 0.91 | 1.29 | 0.752 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2022-06-22 | Double | 6% | 87% | 5% | 2% |
2022-06-22 | Groundout | 4% | 29% | 67% | |
2022-04-15 | Single | 95% | 5% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.