Matchup Machine

Kyle Farmer

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

258th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Kyle Farmer

86th out of 567 (Best 16%)

Strong advantage for Farmer
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Model Prediction

Kyle Farmer has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.8% higher than Farmer's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%23.7%2.8%6.6%14.3%8.7%18.8%
Farmer+2.8+1.3+0.4+1.4-0.5+1.6-5.2
Anderson-1.3+1.5-0.1+1.4+0.1-2.8-2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Farmer is better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Farmer has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Kyle Farmer has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

12.7% of Kyle Farmer's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.1% -1.9% 5%         Walk -1.1% -1.0% 38%         In Play +4.3% +2.9% 39%         On Base -0.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit +0.9% +0.9% 14%         Single -0.1% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -0.2%

History

Kyle Farmer has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332011000.667
Expected From Contact →2.250.060.911.290.752
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-06-22Double6%87%5%2%
2022-06-22Groundout4%29%67%
2022-04-15Single95%5%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.