Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nolan Arenado

matchup for Tobias Myers

280th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

Tobias Myers

matchup for Nolan Arenado

274th out of 567 (Best 49%)

Moderate advantage for Arenado

Nolan Arenado has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Tobias Myers, which is 0.8% lower than Arenado's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Myers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.5%	24.9%	2.1%	6.8%	16.0%	6.6%	15.9%
Arenado	-0.8	+0.6	+0.0	+1.3	-0.7	-1.4	-0.4
Myers	-0.2	+0.7	-0.9	+0.8	+0.8	-0.9	-8.3

Nolan Arenado is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tobias Myers is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arenado has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Tobias Myers throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Nolan Arenado has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

41%

Cutter (R)

22%

Slider (R)

22%

Changeup (R)

11%

13% of Tobias Myers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Nolan Arenado has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Meatball 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

27% of Tobias Myers's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Nolan Arenado has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Break 27%

+16%

High Ride 23%

+13%

Fastball (R) 63%

+9%

8.8% of Nolan Arenado's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Tobias Myers strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -9.8% -1.6% 5%

Walk -1.1% -1.7% 35%

In Play +10.9% +3.3% 39%

On Base +6.3% +0.5% 31%

Hit +7.4% +2.2% 14%

Single +3.8% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B +4.0% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -0.4% +0.5%

29.3% of Nolan Arenado's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Tobias Myers induces Standard Grounders at a 26.3% rate, which is 8.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.2% -8.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% +0.9% 14%

Low Screamer +0.9% +1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.8% +0.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% +2.7% 3%

Likely Homer 0.0% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.3% +2.8% 3%

Pop up +1.8% +1.1%

22.4% of Nolan Arenado's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Tobias Myers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.0% -4.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.8% +6.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.6% +0.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.5% -4.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.9% +1.1%

11.7% of Nolan Arenado's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 5.7% of batted balls allowed by Tobias Myers are hit at this angle, which is 5.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.7% -4.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.0% -4.9% 8%

1 to 6° +0.2% +1.2% 18%

7 to 18° -1.0% +0.7% 15%

19 to 28° +1.5% +10.7% 11%

29 to 38° +0.3% -5.8% 7%

39 to 50° +0.9% -1.8% 8%

Above 50° +2.8% +3.8%

Nolan Arenado has 4 plate appearances against Tobias Myers in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	3	1	0	1	0	2	1	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.11	0.00	0.06	0.05			0.036

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-21	Walk
2024-08-21	Double		6%	5%	89%
2024-05-09	Strikeout
2024-05-09	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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