Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nolan Arenado

matchup for Cole Winn

309th out of 436 (Worst 29%)

Cole Winn

matchup for Nolan Arenado

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Arenado

Nolan Arenado has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Cole Winn, which is 2.7% higher than Arenado's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Winn.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.0%	26.9%	2.1%	5.9%	18.9%	8.1%	14.5%
Arenado	+2.7	+2.7	+0.1	+0.4	+2.2	+0.0	-1.8
Winn	+0.7	+2.2	-0.6	-0.1	+2.9	-1.5	-6.7

Nolan Arenado is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Cole Winn is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Arenado has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Cole Winn throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Nolan Arenado has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

41%

Slider (R)

27%

Splitter (R)

18%

Sinker (R)

15% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Nolan Arenado has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 13%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

37% of Cole Winn's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Nolan Arenado has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 37%

+17%

Medium Slow Velo 29%

+16%

Small Drop 22%

+9%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+9%

8.8% of Nolan Arenado's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Cole Winn strikes out 11.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -9.8% -4.3% 5%

Walk -1.1% -3.6% 35%

In Play +10.9% +7.9% 39%

On Base +6.3% +6.4% 31%

Hit +7.4% +10.0% 14%

Single +3.8% +5.6% 13%

2B / 3B +4.0% +6.0% 3%

Home Run -0.4% -1.5%

29.3% of Nolan Arenado's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Cole Winn induces Standard Grounders at a 32.7% rate, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.2% -1.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% -0.3% 14%

Low Screamer +0.9% +2.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.8% -3.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer 0.0% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.3% +5.0% 3%

Pop up +1.8% -1.3%

22.4% of Nolan Arenado's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.0% -6.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.8% +6.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.6% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.5% +2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.9% -0.7%

11.7% of Nolan Arenado's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 8.0% of batted balls allowed by Cole Winn are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%