Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nolan Arenado

matchup for Alex Speas

340th out of 436 (Worst 22%)

Alex Speas

matchup for Nolan Arenado

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Arenado

Nolan Arenado has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 3.1% higher than Arenado's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Speas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.4%	22.4%	1.8%	5.6%	15.0%	13.0%	15.9%
Arenado	+3.1	-1.9	-0.2	+0.0	-1.7	+4.9	-0.4
Speas	+1.4	+1.2	-0.7	+0.4	+1.6	+0.2	-8.6

Nolan Arenado is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Arenado has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Nolan Arenado has a B grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

77%

4-Seam (R)

19%

12% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Nolan Arenado has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Fringe Miss 15%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 13%

-4%

Mid Challenge 4%

-7%

96% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 42% higher than the MLB average. Nolan Arenado has a B+ grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 96%

+42%

Minimal Break 38%

+28%

Small Drop 36%

+23%

Medium Velo 27%

+17%

8.8% of Nolan Arenado's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -9.8% +19.9% 5%

Walk -1.1% -0.6% 35%

In Play +10.9% -19.3% 39%

On Base +6.3% -8.2% 31%

Hit +7.4% -7.6% 14%

Single +3.8% -5.7% 13%

2B / 3B +4.0% -5.2% 3%

Home Run -0.4% +3.3%

29.3% of Nolan Arenado's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Alex Speas induces Standard Grounders at a 22.2% rate, which is 12.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.2% -12.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +0.9% +9.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.8% +5.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer 0.0% +10.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.3% -7.4% 3%

Pop up +1.8% +8.5%

22.4% of Nolan Arenado's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.0% +8.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.8% -9.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.6% +6.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.5% +4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.9% -10.5%

11.7% of Nolan Arenado's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at this angle, which is 14.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%