Matchup Machine

Nolan Arenado

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matchup for Blake Treinen

305th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

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Blake Treinen

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matchup for Nolan Arenado

552nd out of 567 (Worst 3%)

Moderate advantage for Treinen
5

Model Prediction

Nolan Arenado has a 27.1% chance of reaching base vs Blake Treinen, which is 5.3% lower than Arenado's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Treinen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.1%19.0%2.1%3.6%13.3%8.1%23.4%
Arenado-5.3-5.3+0.1-1.9-3.40.0+7.1
Treinen0.0+0.8-0.6+0.3+1.1-0.9-8.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Nolan Arenado is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Blake Treinen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Arenado has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Blake Treinen throws a Sinker 43% of the time. Nolan Arenado has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
43%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

8.8% of Nolan Arenado's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Blake Treinen strikes out 21.8% of the batters he faces, which is 7.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.8% +7.1% 5%         Walk -1.1% -0.5% 35%         In Play +10.9% -6.6% 39%         On Base +6.3% -4.3% 31%         Hit +7.4% -3.8% 14%         Single +3.8% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +4.0% -1.4% 3%         Home Run -0.4% -1.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years