Matchup Machine

Gio Urshela

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matchup for Bryce Miller

307th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Gio Urshela

472nd out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Leans in favor of Miller
2

Model Prediction

Gio Urshela has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 1.5% lower than Urshela's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.4%23.8%2.0%5.0%16.8%5.7%24.6%
Urshela-1.5-1.5-0.3-0.8-0.40.0+5.6
Miller+0.2+3.3-0.3+0.6+3.0-3.1-5.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Gio Urshela is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Urshela has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Gio Urshela has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

10.4% of Gio Urshela's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.1% +0.2% 6%         Walk -3.3% -2.5% 35%         In Play +10.4% +2.3% 39%         On Base +3.0% -3.2% 31%         Hit +6.4% -0.7% 14%         Single +3.4% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +3.5% -0.4% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years