Matchup Machine

Gio Urshela

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matchup for Logan Gillaspie

346th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

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Logan Gillaspie

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matchup for Gio Urshela

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Urshela
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Model Prediction

Gio Urshela has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 2.1% higher than Urshela's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Gillaspie.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.1%28.6%2.0%6.0%20.5%4.5%14.0%
Urshela+2.1+3.3-0.3+0.2+3.4-1.2-5.0
Gillaspie+1.5+3.3-0.6+0.6+3.4-1.8-5.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Gio Urshela is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Urshela has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Gio Urshela has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
46%
   Slider (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

10.4% of Gio Urshela's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% lower than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.1% -9.1% 6%         Walk -3.3% -5.0% 35%         In Play +10.4% +14.2% 39%         On Base +3.0% +11.5% 31%         Hit +6.4% +16.6% 14%         Single +3.4% +8.6% 13%         2B / 3B +3.5% +7.8% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.2%

History

Gio Urshela has 1 plate appearance against Logan Gillaspie in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual100000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-15Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.